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KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

4-23  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Scheels Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA STATE

BISONNDSU

22-6  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
100%
📊
BISON
0%
ROOS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (North Dakota State)
RoosKC (-3.5) 0 BisonNDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roos Cover

21.2%

Bison Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NDSU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NDSU)

KC By 1-7 points

13.7%

KC By 8-14 points

4.8%

NDSU By 1-7 points

25.3%

NDSU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
58
KANSAS CITY
66
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
68
KANSAS CITY
72
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+19.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 KC @ NDSU 59 - 95
Jan 8, 2026 NDSU @ KC 97 - 73
Feb 6, 2025 NDSU @ KC 78 - 72
Jan 16, 2025 KC @ NDSU 64 - 71
Feb 8, 2024 KC @ NDSU 78 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.4% more
North Dakota State: 6.8 vs Kansas City: 5.1
Assists (L5) +17.2% more
North Dakota State: 14.5 vs Kansas City: 12.4
Field Goal % (L5) +9.5%
North Dakota State: 50.0% vs Kansas City: 40.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.2%
North Dakota State: 36.0% vs Kansas City: 26.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 58.0 59
NDSU Score 66.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 26.7 44.0 / 23.0
Assists 14.5 / 12.4 28.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.4 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 40.4 49.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 76.5 67.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 33.9 52.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.1 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 13.0 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
NDSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
NDSU Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NDSU
KC
NDSU
KC
ML
49% 17-18
63% 19-11
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
ATS
54% 19-16
67% 20-10
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
TTL
43% 15-20
70% 21-9
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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