DAVIDSON
WILDCATSDAV
16-10 | Road
59
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
15-12 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
RAMS
0%
WILDCATS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
DAV By 1-7 points
8.0%
DAV By 8-14 points
2.2%
FOR By 1-7 points
20.1%
FOR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Davidson
72
DAVIDSON
Fordham
84
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
Davidson
68
DAVIDSON
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DAV @ FOR
59 - 63
Jan 21, 2026
FOR @ DAV
63 - 68
Feb 22, 2025
DAV @ FOR
80 - 69
Jan 11, 2025
FOR @ DAV
64 - 74
Mar 12, 2024
DAV @ FOR
63 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.5% more
Fordham: 7.9
vs
Davidson: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+13.9% more
Fordham: 11.9
vs
Davidson: 10.5
Blocks (L5)
+53.7% more
Davidson: 5.0
vs
Fordham: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+18.8% more
Davidson: 14.6
vs
Fordham: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAV Score
72.0
59
FOR Score
84.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 36.4
23.0 / 45.0
Assists
11.8 / 14.6
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.3 / 5.0
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 46.6
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 67.7
64.0 / 31.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 35.3
31.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.9 / 5.3
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 10.5
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
DAV
FOR
DAV
ML
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
58%
19-14
ATS
59%
19-13
48%
16-17
59%
19-13
58%
19-14
TTL
59%
19-13
52%
17-16
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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