WEST VIRGINIA
MOUNTAINEERSWVU
16-10 | Road
54
TCU
HORNED FROGSTCU
16-10 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
HORNED FROGS
0%
MOUNTAINEERS
--
HORNED FROGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (TCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TCU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TCU)
WVU By 1-7 points
15.3%
WVU By 8-14 points
5.8%
TCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
TCU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
West Virginia
67
WEST VIRGINIA
TCU
74
TCU
Simulated Score
West Virginia
70
WEST VIRGINIA
TCU
75
TCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Horned Frogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Horned Frogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WVU @ TCU
54 - 60
Feb 25, 2025
TCU @ WVU
55 - 73
Feb 5, 2025
WVU @ TCU
60 - 65
Mar 6, 2024
TCU @ WVU
93 - 81
Feb 12, 2024
WVU @ TCU
65 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+105.1% more
TCU: 4.1
vs
West Virginia: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+35.6% more
TCU: 8.0
vs
West Virginia: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+35.1% more
TCU: 12.8
vs
West Virginia: 9.5
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
TCU: 11.5
vs
West Virginia: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WVU Score
67.0
54
TCU Score
74.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 23.4
38.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.8 / 9.5
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.1 / 2.0
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 42.4
34.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 61.4
67.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 32.4
39.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.0 / 5.9
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 10.1
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WVU
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.2
TCU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WVU
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.2
TCU
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
TCU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TCU
WVU
TCU
WVU
ML
74%
26-9
63%
22-13
63%
19-11
76%
26-8
ATS
74%
26-9
60%
21-14
63%
19-11
76%
26-8
TTL
66%
23-12
40%
14-21
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
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