LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
6-21 | Road
61
SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
16-10 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
HAWKS
0%
RAMBLERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Saint Joseph's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JOES -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JOES)
LUC By 1-7 points
0.8%
LUC By 8-14 points
0.1%
JOES By 1-7 points
4.8%
JOES By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
60
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Saint Joseph's
83
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
70
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Saint Joseph's
73
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
LUC @ JOES
61 - 75
Jan 27, 2026
JOES @ LUC
85 - 64
Feb 1, 2025
JOES @ LUC
55 - 58
Jan 11, 2025
LUC @ JOES
57 - 93
Feb 14, 2024
JOES @ LUC
59 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 4.6
vs
Loyola Chicago: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+25.7% more
Saint Joseph's: 17.2
vs
Loyola Chicago: 13.7
Rebounding (L5)
+24.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 39.4
vs
Loyola Chicago: 31.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Saint Joseph's: 64.6%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 60.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
60.0
61
JOES Score
83.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 29.6
32.0 / 35.0
Assists
17.2 / 13.7
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 40.7
45.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
64.6 / 60.4
88.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 31.6
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 13.2
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
LUC
JOES
LUC
ML
51%
18-17
55%
18-15
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
ATS
60%
21-14
64%
21-12
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
TTL
54%
19-16
76%
25-8
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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