LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
19-9 | Road
83
MERCYHURST
LAKERSMERC
13-15 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
LAKERS
100%
SHARKS
--
LAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
LIU By 1-7 points
27.4%
LIU By 8-14 points
21.6%
MERC By 1-7 points
20.1%
MERC By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
80
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Mercyhurst
76
MERCYHURST
Simulated Score
Long Island University
68
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Mercyhurst
72
MERCYHURST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Lakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.0
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u138.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
MERC @ LIU
70 - 79
Feb 21, 2026
LIU @ MERC
83 - 91
Jan 8, 2026
MERC @ LIU
58 - 60
Jan 26, 2025
LIU @ MERC
80 - 85
Jan 20, 2025
MERC @ LIU
63 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.0% more
Long Island University: 6.0
vs
Mercyhurst: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+31.2% more
Long Island University: 12.3
vs
Mercyhurst: 8.5
Steals (L5)
+22.7% more
Long Island University: 10.6
vs
Mercyhurst: 8.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Long Island University: 51.5%
vs
Mercyhurst: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
80.0
83
MERC Score
76.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 36.4
33.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.3
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.6 / 6.0
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 51.5
54.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 65.2
81.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 32.9
29.0 / 27.0
Steals
8.2 / 10.6
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 12.3
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
MERC
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
MERC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
MERC
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MERC
LIU
MERC
LIU
ML
59%
20-14
60%
21-14
79%
26-7
69%
24-11
ATS
62%
21-13
63%
22-13
79%
26-7
69%
24-11
TTL
53%
18-16
60%
21-14
100%
33-0
100%
35-0
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