TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
18-8 | Road
75
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
13-13 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
SOONERS
100%
AGGIES
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Texas A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TA&M -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)
TA&M By 1-7 points
24.3%
TA&M By 8-14 points
26.8%
OU By 1-7 points
12.2%
OU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M
78
TEXAS A&M
Oklahoma
69
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Texas A&M
70
TEXAS A&M
Oklahoma
75
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Aggies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Aggies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
OU @ TA&M
83 - 63
Feb 21, 2026
TA&M @ OU
75 - 71
Jan 10, 2026
OU @ TA&M
76 - 83
Jan 28, 2025
OU @ TA&M
68 - 75
Jan 8, 2025
TA&M @ OU
80 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+28.9% more
Texas A&M: 36.7
vs
Oklahoma: 26.1
Assists (L5)
+27.4% more
Texas A&M: 16.5
vs
Oklahoma: 11.9
Blocks (L5)
+10.7% more
Oklahoma: 2.3
vs
Texas A&M: 2.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Oklahoma: 41.7%
vs
Texas A&M: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score
78.0
75
OU Score
69.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.7 / 31.6
37.0 / 40.0
Assists
11.9 / 16.5
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.1
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 44.4
33.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 71.3
83.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
26.1 / 36.7
44.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.2 / 4.8
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.7
8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
TA&M
OU
TA&M
ML
78%
28-8
67%
20-10
59%
20-14
54%
15-13
ATS
72%
26-10
67%
20-10
59%
20-14
54%
15-13
TTL
75%
27-9
70%
21-9
100%
34-0
100%
28-0
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