Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Islanders @ Cowboys AMCC @ MCN

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

14-13  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Townsley Law Arena
View Odds Details →

MCNEESE

COWBOYSMCN

22-5  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
ISLANDERS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (McNeese)
IslandersAMCC (-3.5) 0 CowboysMCN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

9.7%

Cowboys Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MCN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)

AMCC By 1-7 points

6.8%

AMCC By 8-14 points

1.7%

MCN By 1-7 points

18.6%

MCN By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
65
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
78
MCNEESE
Simulated Score
68
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
72
MCNEESE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 AMCC @ MCN 54 - 70
Jan 19, 2026 MCN @ AMCC 69 - 53
Feb 22, 2025 AMCC @ MCN 57 - 73
Jan 27, 2025 MCN @ AMCC 74 - 73
Feb 10, 2024 AMCC @ MCN 67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +48.6% more
McNeese: 3.6 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 2.5
Steals (L5) +39.9% more
McNeese: 9.4 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 6.7
Assists (L5) +19.4% more
McNeese: 13.2 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 11.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
McNeese: 36.3% vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 32.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score 65.0 54
MCN Score 78.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 32.8 22.0 / 41.0
Assists 13.2 / 11.1 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.5 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 44.1 44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 72.3 73.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 34.8 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.4 / 6.7 11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 7.1 / 11.7 10.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
MCN Advantage
28-6-0 (82.4%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
MCN
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MCN
AMCC
MCN
AMCC
ML
67% 22-11
70% 21-9
88% 28-4
67% 18-9
ATS
76% 25-8
67% 20-10
88% 28-4
67% 18-9
TTL
42% 14-19
60% 18-12
100% 32-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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