AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
VIKINGS
100%
EAGLES
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Eastern Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EWU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)
EWU By 1-7 points
25.3%
EWU By 8-14 points
26.2%
PRST By 1-7 points
13.7%
PRST By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
77
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Portland State
69
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Portland State
71
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Eagles (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
EWU @ PRST
67 - 55
Jan 22, 2026
PRST @ EWU
65 - 61
Feb 8, 2025
PRST @ EWU
67 - 72
Jan 9, 2025
EWU @ PRST
59 - 64
Feb 5, 2024
EWU @ PRST
90 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+33.7% more
Eastern Washington: 17.8
vs
Portland State: 11.8
Turnovers (L5)
+10.5% more
Eastern Washington: 11.3
vs
Portland State: 10.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Eastern Washington: 54.5%
vs
Portland State: 46.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Eastern Washington: 43.7%
vs
Portland State: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
77.0
67
PRST Score
69.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 43.7
21.0 / 27.0
Assists
11.8 / 17.8
7.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.5
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 54.5
31.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 74.6
87.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 32.1
34.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.6
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.3
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
EWU
PRST
EWU
ML
65%
20-11
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
69%
22-10
ATS
71%
22-9
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
69%
22-10
TTL
47%
14-16-1
48%
16-17
100%
31-0
100%
32-0