LONGWOOD
LANCERSLONG
14-15 | Road
107
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
13-15 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
LANCERS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
LONG By 1-7 points
21.6%
LONG By 8-14 points
10.7%
CHSO By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHSO By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Longwood
73
LONGWOOD
Charleston Southern
76
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Longwood
72
LONGWOOD
Charleston Southern
78
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.0
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u154.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
LONG @ CHSO
107 - 96
Jan 23, 2026
CHSO @ LONG
79 - 81
Feb 1, 2025
LONG @ CHSO
85 - 89
Jan 4, 2025
CHSO @ LONG
78 - 83
Feb 3, 2024
LONG @ CHSO
77 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+235.2% more
Charleston Southern: 5.3
vs
Longwood: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+31.1% more
Charleston Southern: 14.5
vs
Longwood: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+24.4% more
Charleston Southern: 41.0
vs
Longwood: 33.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
Charleston Southern: 62.0%
vs
Longwood: 59.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LONG Score
73.0
107
CHSO Score
76.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 39.3
43.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.5 / 11.1
18.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.3 / 1.6
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 47.7
55.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
62.0 / 59.7
68.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 33.0
39.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.8 / 7.8
4.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 15.0
20.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LONG
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LONG
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
CHSO
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.7
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
LONG
CHSO
LONG
ML
43%
13-17
65%
20-11
67%
20-10
68%
21-10
ATS
50%
15-15
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
TTL
50%
15-15
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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