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MARSHALL

THUNDERING HERDMRSH

18-10  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 1:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

16-12  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERING HERD
0%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
100%
THUNDERING HERD --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Marshall)
Thundering HerdMRSH (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thundering Herd Cover

95.5%

Chanticleers Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MRSH -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

MRSH By 1-7 points

12.2%

MRSH By 8-14 points

23.0%

CCU By 1-7 points

3.3%

CCU By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
78
MARSHALL
61
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
72
MARSHALL
75
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Thundering Herd Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Thundering Herd (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 MRSH @ CCU 75 - 79
Jan 14, 2026 CCU @ MRSH 85 - 83
Feb 1, 2025 CCU @ MRSH 62 - 67
Jan 18, 2025 MRSH @ CCU 77 - 64
Feb 17, 2024 MRSH @ CCU 67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +55.9% more
Marshall: 6.1 vs Coastal Carolina: 2.7
Assists (L5) +47.3% more
Marshall: 17.2 vs Coastal Carolina: 9.1
Field Goal % (L5) +8.7%
Marshall: 50.6% vs Coastal Carolina: 41.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Marshall: 40.3% vs Coastal Carolina: 36.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MRSH Score 78.0 75
CCU Score 61.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.4 / 40.3 30.0 / 25.0
Assists 9.1 / 17.2 7.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.8 10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 50.6 39.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 68.2 / 70.0 71.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 30.4 47.0 / 42.0
Steals 2.7 / 6.1 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 8.1 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRSH
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
CCU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRSH
10-20-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.1
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
MRSH
CCU
MRSH
ML
41% 13-19
70% 21-9
55% 17-14
62% 18-11
ATS
38% 12-20
70% 21-9
55% 17-14
62% 18-11
TTL
75% 24-8
50% 15-15
100% 31-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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