WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
13-13 | Road
60
MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
10-16 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
TERRAPINS
100%
HUSKIES
--
TERRAPINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WASH -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
WASH By 1-7 points
5.8%
WASH By 8-14 points
15.3%
MD By 1-7 points
1.1%
MD By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
80
WASHINGTON
Maryland
58
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Washington
72
WASHINGTON
Maryland
75
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terrapins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Terrapins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WASH @ MD
60 - 64
Jan 2, 2025
MD @ WASH
69 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.7% more
Washington: 6.2
vs
Maryland: 3.9
Blocks (L5)
+16.4% more
Washington: 3.8
vs
Maryland: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+11.2% more
Washington: 12.5
vs
Maryland: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Washington: 51.3%
vs
Maryland: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
80.0
60
MD Score
58.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 33.3
43.0 / 23.0
Assists
11.1 / 12.5
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.8
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 51.3
40.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 64.1
73.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 33.1
36.0 / 23.0
Steals
3.9 / 6.2
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 12.2
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
MD
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
WASH
MD
WASH
ML
70%
23-10
45%
15-18
67%
22-11
66%
21-11
ATS
64%
21-12
48%
16-17
67%
22-11
66%
21-11
TTL
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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