Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Yellow Jackets @ Cardinals GT @ LOU

GEORGIA TECH

YELLOW JACKETSGT

11-16  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 2:15 PM ET
KFC Yum! Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISVILLE

CARDINALSLOU

19-7  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
YELLOW JACKETS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOUISVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Louisville)
Yellow JacketsGT (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yellow Jackets Cover

38.2%

Cardinals Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LOU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LOU)

GT By 1-7 points

21.6%

GT By 8-14 points

10.7%

LOU By 1-7 points

27.2%

LOU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
68
GEORGIA TECH
71
LOUISVILLE
Simulated Score
70
GEORGIA TECH
75
LOUISVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 GT @ LOU 70 - 87
Feb 1, 2025 LOU @ GT 70 - 77
Feb 10, 2024 GT @ LOU 67 - 79
Feb 25, 2023 LOU @ GT 67 - 83
Feb 1, 2023 GT @ LOU 58 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +34.2% more
Louisville: 18.4 vs Georgia Tech: 13.7
Blocks (L5) +16.4% more
Louisville: 3.7 vs Georgia Tech: 3.2
Rebounding (L5) +14.0% more
Louisville: 36.2 vs Georgia Tech: 31.7
Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Louisville: 50.3% vs Georgia Tech: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 68.0 70
LOU Score 71.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.2 / 33.5 45.0 / 17.0
Assists 18.4 / 13.7 15.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.2 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 42.1 52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 80.7 / 76.3 95.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 31.7 30.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.2 / 6.5 11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 13.4 18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
LOU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
LOU Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.5
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LOU
GT
LOU
GT
ML
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
71% 24-10
63% 19-11
ATS
71% 25-10
55% 17-14
71% 24-10
63% 19-11
TTL
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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