Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demon Deacons @ Hokies WAKE @ VT

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

14-12  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 12:00 PM ET
Cassell Coliseum
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

17-10  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
0%
📊
HOKIES
100%
DEMON DEACONS --
HOKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Demon DeaconsWAKE (-3.5) 0 HokiesVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demon Deacons Cover

34.5%

Hokies Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

WAKE By 1-7 points

27.4%

WAKE By 8-14 points

21.6%

VT By 1-7 points

20.1%

VT By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
80
WAKE FOREST
76
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
72
WAKE FOREST
75
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Demon Deacons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hokies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hokies (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Hokies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 WAKE @ VT 95 - 89
Feb 21, 2026 WAKE @ VT 63 - 82
Jan 3, 2026 VT @ WAKE 78 - 81
Jan 18, 2025 WAKE @ VT 72 - 63
Mar 2, 2024 WAKE @ VT 76 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.2% more
Wake Forest: 3.8 vs Virginia Tech: 1.5
Steals (L5) +25.7% more
Wake Forest: 6.8 vs Virginia Tech: 5.0
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Wake Forest: 48.7% vs Virginia Tech: 46.5%
Turnovers (L5) +19.0% more
Virginia Tech: 11.3 vs Wake Forest: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 80.0 63
VT Score 76.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.2 / 37.1 39.0 / 20.0
Assists 14.6 / 13.0 19.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.5 / 3.8 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 48.7 51.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 77.8 / 78.6 56.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 29.6 37.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.0 / 6.8 3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 9.5 5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
VT Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
WAKE
VT
WAKE
ML
53% 17-15
49% 17-18
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
ATS
59% 19-13
66% 23-12
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
TTL
69% 22-10
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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