SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SALUKISSIU
13-15 | Road
59
NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
18-10 | Home
57
AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
SALUKIS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Northern Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)
SIU By 1-7 points
20.1%
SIU By 8-14 points
9.3%
UNI By 1-7 points
27.4%
UNI By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Illinois
70
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Northern Iowa
74
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Southern Illinois
67
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Northern Iowa
72
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
SIU @ UNI
59 - 57
Jan 28, 2026
UNI @ SIU
50 - 65
Jan 18, 2025
UNI @ SIU
49 - 73
Dec 29, 2024
SIU @ UNI
67 - 78
Mar 3, 2024
UNI @ SIU
82 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.8% more
Northern Iowa: 15.5
vs
Southern Illinois: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.8%
Northern Iowa: 40.5%
vs
Southern Illinois: 25.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.7%
Northern Iowa: 53.4%
vs
Southern Illinois: 40.6%
Steals (L5)
+30.0% more
Southern Illinois: 8.6
vs
Northern Iowa: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIU Score
70.0
59
UNI Score
74.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.5 / 25.7
24.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.5 / 12.2
9.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.9
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
53.4 / 40.6
44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 71.3
78.0 / 33.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 40.1
26.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.6
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 11.1
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
SIU
UNI
SIU
ML
51%
18-17
53%
17-15
56%
19-15
47%
15-17
ATS
49%
17-18
56%
18-14
56%
19-15
47%
15-17
TTL
69%
24-11
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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