Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Rockets EMU @ TOL

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

10-17  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 5:00 PM ET
Savage Arena
View Odds Details →

TOLEDO

ROCKETSTOL

13-13  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
ROCKETS
100%
EAGLES --
ROCKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
TOLEDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 RocketsTOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

30.9%

Rockets Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOL +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOL)

EMU By 1-7 points

27.2%

EMU By 8-14 points

23.0%

TOL By 1-7 points

18.6%

TOL By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
73
EASTERN MICHIGAN
68
TOLEDO
Simulated Score
70
EASTERN MICHIGAN
85
TOLEDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rockets (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Rockets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 EMU @ TOL 75 - 94
Feb 15, 2025 TOL @ EMU 73 - 80
Jan 7, 2025 EMU @ TOL 87 - 90
Feb 6, 2024 TOL @ EMU 91 - 87
Feb 11, 2023 TOL @ EMU 70 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.9% more
Eastern Michigan: 13.1 vs Toledo: 8.8
Blocks (L5) +25.2% more
Eastern Michigan: 4.7 vs Toledo: 3.5
Steals (L5) +34.8% more
Toledo: 7.0 vs Eastern Michigan: 5.2
Assists (L5) +19.3% more
Toledo: 14.2 vs Eastern Michigan: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 73.0 75
TOL Score 68.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 34.6 40.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.2 / 11.9 19.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.7 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 46.7 67.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 72.3 64.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 34.5 29.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.0 / 5.2 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 13.1 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
TOL Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
TOL
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
TOL
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOL
EMU
TOL
EMU
ML
48% 16-17
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
70% 21-9
ATS
48% 16-17
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
70% 21-9
TTL
64% 21-12
71% 22-9
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days, 1 hour ago
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
Kyrie Irving Declares Himself Ready, Cooper Flagg Reveals Growth…
yardbarker 1 week, 6 days ago
Chris Spatola, Duke Basketball Analyst and Mike Krzyzewski's Son…
cbsnews 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Chris Spatola, Former Duke Assistant and ESPN Analyst, Dies at 47
pennlive 2 weeks, 1 day ago