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OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

16-10  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 3:30 PM ET
CU Events Center
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

14-12  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
BUFFALOES
0%
COWBOYS --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
CowboysOKST (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

42.1%

Buffaloes Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

OKST By 1-7 points

23.0%

OKST By 8-14 points

12.2%

COLO By 1-7 points

26.8%

COLO By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
72
OKLAHOMA STATE
74
COLORADO
Simulated Score
71
OKLAHOMA STATE
78
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 OKST @ COLO 92 - 83
Feb 21, 2026 OKST @ COLO 69 - 83
Jan 18, 2025 COLO @ OKST 73 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.4% more
Colorado: 2.7 vs Oklahoma State: 2.2
Steals (L5) +18.6% more
Oklahoma State: 7.1 vs Colorado: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
Oklahoma State: 70.1% vs Colorado: 63.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.5%
Oklahoma State: 32.1% vs Colorado: 30.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 72.0 69
COLO Score 74.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.5 / 32.1 41.0 / 22.0
Assists 13.9 / 14.9 20.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.2 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 41.3 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 63.9 / 70.1 78.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 36.1 36.0 / 39.0
Steals 5.8 / 7.1 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 10.7 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
OKST
COLO
OKST
ML
61% 20-13
60% 21-14
69% 22-10
66% 21-11
ATS
73% 24-9
57% 20-15
69% 22-10
66% 21-11
TTL
45% 15-18
57% 20-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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