CINCINNATI
BEARCATSCIN
14-12 | Road
84
KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
20-6 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
0%
JAYHAWKS
100%
BEARCATS
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KU +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
CIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
CIN By 8-14 points
23.0%
KU By 1-7 points
18.6%
KU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
84
CINCINNATI
Kansas
79
KANSAS
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
72
CINCINNATI
Kansas
65
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bearcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Bearcats (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
CIN @ KU
84 - 68
Jan 11, 2025
KU @ CIN
54 - 40
Mar 13, 2024
CIN @ KU
72 - 52
Jan 22, 2024
CIN @ KU
69 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+10.6% more
Cincinnati: 5.8
vs
Kansas: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+8.8% more
Cincinnati: 15.8
vs
Kansas: 14.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Cincinnati: 39.8%
vs
Kansas: 36.4%
Blocks (L5)
+45.4% more
Kansas: 6.3
vs
Cincinnati: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
84.0
84
KU Score
79.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 39.8
22.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.5 / 15.8
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
6.3 / 4.4
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 45.9
44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
82.0 / 75.9
77.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 34.2
29.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.8
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 10.4
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -4.6
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
CIN
KU
CIN
ML
57%
20-15
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
74%
23-8
ATS
49%
17-18
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
74%
23-8
TTL
60%
21-14
67%
22-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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