Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bison NCCU @ HOW

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

10-15  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 12:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

17-10  |  Home

100
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BISON
0%
EAGLES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Howard)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

34.5%

Bison Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

NCCU By 1-7 points

20.1%

NCCU By 8-14 points

9.3%

HOW By 1-7 points

27.4%

HOW By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
78
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
82
HOWARD
Simulated Score
71
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
78
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 NCCU @ HOW 63 - 70
Feb 21, 2026 NCCU @ HOW 67 - 100
Jan 17, 2026 HOW @ NCCU 83 - 69
Mar 1, 2025 HOW @ NCCU 68 - 72
Feb 8, 2025 NCCU @ HOW 78 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +50.3% more
Howard: 18.6 vs North Carolina Central: 12.4
Steals (L5) +27.0% more
Howard: 8.6 vs North Carolina Central: 6.8
Rebounding (L5) +18.3% more
Howard: 36.6 vs North Carolina Central: 31.0
Free Throw % (L5) +12.9%
Howard: 78.0% vs North Carolina Central: 65.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 78.0 67
HOW Score 82.0 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 39.4 50.0 / 13.0
Assists 18.6 / 12.4 26.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.6 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 50.4 / 46.3 61.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.0 / 65.1 75.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 31.0 35.0 / 28.0
Steals 8.6 / 6.8 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 12.2 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
NCCU
HOW
NCCU
ML
59% 20-14
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
81% 22-5
ATS
59% 20-14
71% 22-9
71% 22-9
81% 22-5
TTL
62% 21-13
55% 17-14
100% 31-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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