BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
15-39 | Road
86
OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
42-14 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
THUNDER
0%
NETS
--
THUNDER
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Oklahoma City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)
BKN By 1-7 points
12.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
4.0%
OKC By 1-7 points
24.3%
OKC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
99
BROOKLYN
Oklahoma City
108
OKLAHOMA CITY
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Oklahoma City
115
OKLAHOMA CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Thunder
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Thunder
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Thunder (+17)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Thunder (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u214.0
Win
Proj Total: 207.0
D
Sim
u214.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
OKC @ BKN
121 - 92
Feb 20, 2026
BKN @ OKC
86 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
OKC @ BKN
129 - 121
Jan 19, 2025
BKN @ OKC
101 - 127
Jan 5, 2024
OKC @ BKN
115 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+13.4% more
Oklahoma City: 4.6
vs
Brooklyn: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Oklahoma City: 80.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 69.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Oklahoma City: 45.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 42.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Oklahoma City: 37.7%
vs
Brooklyn: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
99.0
86
OKC Score
108.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 35.3
37.0 / 17.0
Assists
24.7 / 26.3
22.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 42.7
42.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 69.0
88.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 42.1
47.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.1 / 8.0
11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 15.7
19.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
OKC
Advantage
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKC
BKN
OKC
BKN
ML
70%
80-34
53%
50-45
48%
46-49
59%
48-34
ATS
73%
83-30-1
52%
48-44-3
48%
46-49
59%
48-34
TTL
67%
76-38
57%
54-41
100%
95-0
100%
82-0
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