Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Peacocks @ Gaels SPU @ IONA

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

15-9  |  Road

64
FINAL
Fri, Feb 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Hynes Athletics Center
View Odds Details →

IONA

GAELSIONA

15-12  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
0%
📊
GAELS
100%
PEACOCKS --
GAELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Saint Peter's)
PeacocksSPU (-3.5) 0 GaelsIONA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Peacocks Cover

72.6%

Gaels Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SPU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)

SPU By 1-7 points

26.8%

SPU By 8-14 points

24.3%

IONA By 1-7 points

16.9%

IONA By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
83
SAINT PETER'S
77
IONA
Simulated Score
63
SAINT PETER'S
70
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Peacocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gaels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Peacocks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Gaels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 20, 2026 SPU @ IONA 64 - 72
Jan 19, 2026 IONA @ SPU 63 - 77
Dec 8, 2024 SPU @ IONA 63 - 72
Feb 18, 2024 SPU @ IONA 59 - 53
Jan 5, 2024 IONA @ SPU 57 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.2% more
Saint Peter's: 3.5 vs Iona: 2.2
Steals (L5) +27.5% more
Saint Peter's: 8.2 vs Iona: 6.0
Turnovers (L5) +21.6% more
Saint Peter's: 11.1 vs Iona: 8.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Saint Peter's: 38.5% vs Iona: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPU Score 83.0 64
IONA Score 77.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 38.5 25.0 / 27.0
Assists 12.9 / 12.4 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.5 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 44.6 40.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 74.7 76.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 33.7 42.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.2 8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 8.7 / 11.1 18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
IONA
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
IONA Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
SPU
IONA
SPU
ML
41% 13-19
64% 18-10
62% 20-12
71% 20-8
ATS
53% 17-15
71% 20-8
62% 20-12
71% 20-8
TTL
66% 21-11
61% 17-11
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 18 hours, 44 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 5 hours ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 12 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago