VCU
RAMSVCU
21-6 | Road
75
SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
24-2 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
BILLIKENS
100%
RAMS
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SLU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
VCU By 1-7 points
26.8%
VCU By 8-14 points
18.6%
SLU By 1-7 points
23.0%
SLU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
VCU
76
VCU
Saint Louis
74
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
VCU
72
VCU
Saint Louis
68
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Billikens (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Rams (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
VCU @ SLU
75 - 88
Jan 7, 2026
SLU @ VCU
71 - 62
Jan 28, 2025
VCU @ SLU
69 - 78
Jan 14, 2025
SLU @ VCU
62 - 78
Feb 16, 2024
VCU @ SLU
95 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.8% more
VCU: 5.6
vs
Saint Louis: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
VCU: 73.6%
vs
Saint Louis: 71.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+37.6% more
Saint Louis: 14.2
vs
VCU: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+23.2% more
Saint Louis: 8.3
vs
VCU: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VCU Score
76.0
75
SLU Score
74.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.0 / 36.8
40.0 / 31.0
Assists
17.2 / 15.1
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.6
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 47.5
52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 73.6
53.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 37.3
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.3 / 6.8
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 10.3
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
VCU
SLU
VCU
ML
70%
23-10
72%
26-10
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
ATS
73%
24-9
81%
29-7
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
TTL
61%
20-13
58%
21-15
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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