Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Mavericks UTU @ UTA

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

16-11  |  Road

50
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 8:00 PM ET
College Park Center
View Odds Details →

UT ARLINGTON

MAVERICKSUTA

14-11  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
📊
MAVERICKS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS --
MAVERICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
UT ARLINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 MavericksUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

42.1%

Mavericks Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTA +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)

UTU By 1-7 points

26.8%

UTU By 8-14 points

18.6%

UTA By 1-7 points

23.0%

UTA By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
63
UTAH TECH
61
UT ARLINGTON
Simulated Score
71
UTAH TECH
78
UT ARLINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mavericks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mavericks (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Mavericks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 UTU @ UTA 50 - 63
Feb 5, 2026 UTA @ UTU 84 - 87
Jan 15, 2026 UTA @ UTU 56 - 52
Feb 1, 2025 UTU @ UTA 71 - 73
Jan 9, 2025 UTA @ UTU 62 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.0% more
Utah Tech: 14.3 vs UT Arlington: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.5%
Utah Tech: 44.0% vs UT Arlington: 28.6%
Rebounding (L5) +13.4% more
Utah Tech: 36.5 vs UT Arlington: 31.6
Turnovers (L5) +32.7% more
UT Arlington: 13.5 vs Utah Tech: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 63.0 50
UTA Score 61.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 44.0 19.0 / 23.0
Assists 12.0 / 14.3 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.8 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 47.9 44.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 69.0 / 64.6 57.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 36.5 43.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.1 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 10.2 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
UTA Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
UTA
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
UTA
7-23-0
O: 23.3% / U: 76.7% Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
UTU
UTA
UTU
ML
50% 16-16
68% 23-11
62% 20-12
62% 21-13
ATS
59% 19-13
65% 22-12
62% 20-12
62% 21-13
TTL
53% 17-15
65% 22-12
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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