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UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

17-9  |  Road

69
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 10:00 PM ET
Walter Pyramid
View Odds Details →

LONG BEACH STATE

BEACHLBSU

8-18  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
0%
📊
BEACH
100%
ANTEATERS --
BEACH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
LONG BEACH STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AnteatersUCI (-3.5) 0 BeachLBSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Anteaters Cover

30.9%

Beach Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LBSU +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LBSU)

UCI By 1-7 points

27.2%

UCI By 8-14 points

23.0%

LBSU By 1-7 points

18.6%

LBSU By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
90
UC IRVINE
85
LONG BEACH STATE
Simulated Score
72
UC IRVINE
68
LONG BEACH STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Beach (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Anteaters (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 UCI @ LBSU 69 - 58
Jan 8, 2026 LBSU @ UCI 64 - 74
Mar 1, 2025 LBSU @ UCI 60 - 70
Jan 30, 2025 UCI @ LBSU 80 - 75
Mar 15, 2024 LBSU @ UCI 83 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.8% more
UC Irvine: 4.7 vs Long Beach State: 2.5
Assists (L5) +29.1% more
UC Irvine: 17.1 vs Long Beach State: 12.1
Rebounding (L5) +29.1% more
UC Irvine: 40.2 vs Long Beach State: 28.5
Steals (L5) +12.6% more
UC Irvine: 8.7 vs Long Beach State: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCI Score 90.0 69
LBSU Score 85.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 34.2 11.0 / 40.0
Assists 12.1 / 17.1 7.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.5 / 4.7 6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 47.6 32.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 68.8 82.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 28.5 / 40.2 35.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.7 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 13.8 16.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
LBSU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
LBSU Advantage
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
LBSU
19-10-1
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LBSU
UCI
LBSU
UCI
ML
55% 17-14
57% 20-15
65% 20-11
53% 18-16
ATS
68% 21-10
63% 22-13
65% 20-11
53% 18-16
TTL
61% 19-12
57% 20-15
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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