Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Pride HAMP @ HOF

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

12-14  |  Road

43
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 8:00 PM ET
David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex
View Odds Details →

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

17-10  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
📊
PRIDE
0%
PIRATES --
PRIDE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Hofstra)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 PrideHOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

1.8%

Pride Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)

HAMP By 1-7 points

1.4%

HAMP By 8-14 points

0.2%

HOF By 1-7 points

6.8%

HOF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
64
HAMPTON
85
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
62
HAMPTON
78
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pride Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pride Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pride (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Pride (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 HAMP @ HOF 43 - 79
Feb 15, 2025 HOF @ HAMP 49 - 67
Feb 8, 2024 HOF @ HAMP 63 - 59
Jan 18, 2024 HAMP @ HOF 77 - 86
Feb 16, 2023 HAMP @ HOF 43 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.1% more
Hofstra: 4.3 vs Hampton: 3.2
Rebounding (L5) +11.3% more
Hofstra: 40.0 vs Hampton: 35.9
Free Throw % (L5) +5.2%
Hofstra: 74.0% vs Hampton: 68.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Hofstra: 35.1% vs Hampton: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 64.0 43
HOF Score 85.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 33.2 35.0 / 17.0
Assists 10.9 / 13.4 17.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.2 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 41.0 57.0 / 27.0
Free Throw % 74.0 / 68.8 75.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 35.9 37.0 / 36.0
Steals 4.1 / 5.5 6.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 11.8 8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
HAMP
HOF
HAMP
ML
77% 27-8
53% 17-15
71% 25-10
75% 24-8
ATS
83% 29-6
50% 16-16
71% 25-10
75% 24-8
TTL
51% 18-17
68% 21-10-1
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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