UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
9-17 | Road
81
NJIT
HIGHLANDERSNJIT
15-12 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
GREAT DANES
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NJIT -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
UALB By 1-7 points
2.2%
UALB By 8-14 points
0.4%
NJIT By 1-7 points
9.3%
NJIT By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
65
UALBANY
NJIT
84
NJIT
Simulated Score
UAlbany
68
UALBANY
NJIT
72
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
UALB @ NJIT
81 - 63
Jan 29, 2026
NJIT @ UALB
77 - 68
Mar 1, 2025
UALB @ NJIT
86 - 59
Jan 25, 2025
NJIT @ UALB
62 - 68
Feb 15, 2024
NJIT @ UALB
58 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.5% more
NJIT: 4.5
vs
UAlbany: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
NJIT: 35.3
vs
UAlbany: 32.0
Steals (L5)
+9.4% more
NJIT: 9.0
vs
UAlbany: 8.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
NJIT: 50.3%
vs
UAlbany: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
65.0
81
NJIT Score
84.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 34.5
24.0 / 56.0
Assists
12.9 / 12.0
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.8
1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 46.2
41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
62.9 / 67.1
63.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 32.0
30.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.0 / 8.2
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.0
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJIT
UALB
NJIT
UALB
ML
78%
25-7
55%
17-14
62%
20-12
71%
22-9
ATS
72%
23-9
77%
24-7
62%
20-12
72%
23-9
TTL
47%
15-17
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
