LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
18-9 | Road
91
SAINT FRANCIS
RED FLASHSFPA
6-20 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
RED FLASH
0%
SHARKS
--
RED FLASH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SAINT FRANCIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Saint Francis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SFPA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SFPA)
LIU By 1-7 points
8.0%
LIU By 8-14 points
2.2%
SFPA By 1-7 points
20.1%
SFPA By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
66
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Saint Francis
78
SAINT FRANCIS
Simulated Score
Long Island University
68
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Saint Francis
72
SAINT FRANCIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Flash
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Flash
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Flash (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Red Flash (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
LIU @ SFPA
91 - 89
Jan 10, 2026
SFPA @ LIU
63 - 67
Mar 8, 2025
SFPA @ LIU
71 - 68
Jan 24, 2025
LIU @ SFPA
64 - 74
Jan 18, 2025
SFPA @ LIU
51 - 64
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Saint Francis: 36.0%
vs
Long Island University: 32.2%
Blocks (L5)
+89.7% more
Long Island University: 5.9
vs
Saint Francis: 0.6
Steals (L5)
+20.1% more
Long Island University: 8.4
vs
Saint Francis: 6.7
Rebounding (L5)
+15.0% more
Long Island University: 34.8
vs
Saint Francis: 29.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
66.0
91
SFPA Score
78.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 32.2
61.0 / 45.0
Assists
12.2 / 13.4
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
0.6 / 5.9
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 48.8
53.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
67.1 / 70.3
80.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
29.6 / 34.8
34.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.7 / 8.4
9.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 12.5
21.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
SFPA
Advantage
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
SFPA
Advantage
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SFPA
LIU
SFPA
LIU
ML
68%
21-10
60%
21-14
67%
20-10
69%
24-11
ATS
68%
21-10
63%
22-13
67%
20-10
69%
24-11
TTL
58%
18-13
60%
21-14
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
