EASTERN WASHINGTON
EAGLESEWU
9-17 | Road
102
SACRAMENTO STATE
HORNETSSAC
9-16 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
HORNETS
100%
EAGLES
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Eastern Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EWU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)
EWU By 1-7 points
0.1%
EWU By 8-14 points
1.1%
SAC By 1-7 points
0.0%
SAC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
94
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Sacramento State
57
SACRAMENTO STATE
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
75
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Sacramento State
68
SACRAMENTO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Eagles (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
EWU @ SAC
102 - 94
Jan 24, 2026
SAC @ EWU
67 - 75
Feb 6, 2025
SAC @ EWU
80 - 83
Jan 11, 2025
EWU @ SAC
65 - 54
Mar 10, 2024
SAC @ EWU
74 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+66.5% more
Eastern Washington: 4.2
vs
Sacramento State: 1.4
Assists (L5)
+33.6% more
Eastern Washington: 15.2
vs
Sacramento State: 10.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Eastern Washington: 53.7%
vs
Sacramento State: 43.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Eastern Washington: 40.5%
vs
Sacramento State: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
94.0
102
SAC Score
57.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 40.5
29.0 / 50.0
Assists
10.1 / 15.2
17.0 / 23.0
Blocks
1.4 / 4.2
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 53.7
54.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
80.0 / 82.3
74.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 29.7
30.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.4
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.9
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
SAC
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
SAC
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
SAC
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
EWU
SAC
EWU
ML
57%
17-13
64%
21-12
87%
26-4
69%
22-10
ATS
73%
22-8
64%
21-12
87%
27-4
69%
22-10
TTL
60%
18-12
48%
16-17
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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