IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
14-12 | Road
67
PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
17-7 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
100%
VIKINGS
0%
VANDALS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
IDHO By 1-7 points
4.8%
IDHO By 8-14 points
1.1%
PRST By 1-7 points
15.3%
PRST By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho
60
IDAHO
Portland State
75
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
Idaho
69
IDAHO
Portland State
76
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
IDHO @ PRST
67 - 77
Jan 24, 2026
PRST @ IDHO
69 - 66
Mar 10, 2025
IDHO @ PRST
80 - 70
Feb 6, 2025
PRST @ IDHO
76 - 69
Jan 11, 2025
IDHO @ PRST
63 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.9% more
Portland State: 2.9
vs
Idaho: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+23.1% more
Idaho: 12.6
vs
Portland State: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Idaho: 36.5%
vs
Portland State: 32.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Idaho: 48.2%
vs
Portland State: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score
60.0
67
PRST Score
75.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 36.5
45.0 / 41.0
Assists
9.7 / 12.6
16.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.2
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 48.2
46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
71.8 / 71.9
67.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 36.0
38.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.8 / 5.7
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 10.2
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
IDHO
PRST
IDHO
ML
65%
20-11
56%
20-16
71%
22-9
64%
21-12
ATS
71%
22-9
58%
21-15
71%
22-9
64%
21-12
TTL
47%
14-16-1
69%
25-11
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
