AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
DRAGONS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Drexel)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DREX -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)
DREX By 1-7 points
16.9%
DREX By 8-14 points
26.2%
NE By 1-7 points
5.8%
NE By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Drexel
84
DREXEL
Northeastern
70
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Drexel
68
DREXEL
Northeastern
72
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dragons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dragons (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
NE @ DREX
77 - 84
Feb 19, 2026
DREX @ NE
70 - 61
Jan 24, 2026
NE @ DREX
78 - 83
Jan 23, 2025
DREX @ NE
61 - 70
Mar 2, 2024
NE @ DREX
59 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.9% more
Drexel: 14.0
vs
Northeastern: 10.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Drexel: 34.4%
vs
Northeastern: 30.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Drexel: 46.4%
vs
Northeastern: 42.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Drexel: 69.0%
vs
Northeastern: 66.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DREX Score
84.0
70
NE Score
70.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 34.4
30.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.3 / 13.7
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.8
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 46.4
39.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
66.6 / 69.0
79.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 34.0
29.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.1
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 14.0
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
DREX
NE
DREX
ML
70%
21-9
58%
19-14
60%
18-12
81%
26-6
ATS
63%
19-11
70%
23-10
60%
18-12
81%
26-6
TTL
53%
16-14
48%
16-17
100%
30-0
100%
32-0