Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Seahawks MONM @ UNCW

MONMOUTH

HAWKSMONM

14-12  |  Road

69
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Trask Coliseum
View Odds Details →

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

22-4  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
HAWKS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
HawksMONM (-3.5) 0 SeahawksUNCW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

0.0%

Seahawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

MONM By 1-7 points

0.0%

MONM By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNCW By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNCW By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
44
MONMOUTH
87
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
70
MONMOUTH
75
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 MONM @ UNCW 69 - 79
Jan 9, 2025 UNCW @ MONM 64 - 55
Jan 11, 2024 MONM @ UNCW 56 - 69
Jan 26, 2023 MONM @ UNCW 49 - 52
Dec 28, 2022 UNCW @ MONM 68 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
UNC Wilmington: 45.8% vs Monmouth: 41.3%
Steals (L5) +57.9% more
Monmouth: 9.6 vs UNC Wilmington: 4.0
Blocks (L5) +52.7% more
Monmouth: 2.8 vs UNC Wilmington: 1.3
Assists (L5) +11.1% more
Monmouth: 14.3 vs UNC Wilmington: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONM Score 44.0 69
UNCW Score 87.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 37.1 39.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.7 / 14.3 10.0 / 8.0
Blocks 1.3 / 2.8 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 41.3 39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 61.4 / 71.2 80.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 36.0 32.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.0 / 9.6 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 8.2 / 9.0 8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
UNCW Advantage
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.1
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
MONM
UNCW
MONM
ML
64% 21-12
62% 21-13
52% 17-16
64% 21-12
ATS
58% 19-14
62% 21-13
52% 17-16
64% 21-12
TTL
61% 20-13
59% 20-14
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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