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IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

7-21  |  Road

73
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
View Odds Details →

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

17-10  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
JAGUARS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Wright State)
JaguarsIUIN (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

0.3%

Raiders Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WRST -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

IUIN By 1-7 points

0.3%

IUIN By 8-14 points

0.0%

WRST By 1-7 points

2.2%

WRST By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
69
IU INDIANAPOLIS
96
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
65
IU INDIANAPOLIS
78
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 IUIN @ WRST 73 - 85
Jan 4, 2026 WRST @ IUIN 81 - 77
Mar 4, 2025 IUIN @ WRST 85 - 98
Mar 1, 2025 WRST @ IUIN 84 - 91
Feb 8, 2025 IUIN @ WRST 73 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +60.2% more
Wright State: 4.9 vs IU Indianapolis: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.2%
Wright State: 43.6% vs IU Indianapolis: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
Wright State: 50.1% vs IU Indianapolis: 45.0%
Steals (L5) +15.7% more
IU Indianapolis: 6.2 vs Wright State: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score 69.0 73
WRST Score 96.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.6 / 32.4 36.0 / 20.0
Assists 16.1 / 17.8 6.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 45.0 53.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 79.1 85.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 36.5 35.0 / 22.0
Steals 5.2 / 6.2 7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.4 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
IUIN
WRST
IUIN
ML
37% 13-22
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
78% 25-7
ATS
46% 16-19
66% 21-11
63% 22-13
78% 25-7
TTL
63% 22-13
50% 16-16
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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