UNC ASHEVILLE
BULLDOGSUNCA
12-14 | Road
48
HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
24-4 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UNC ASHEVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (UNC Asheville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCA)
UNCA By 1-7 points
20.1%
UNCA By 8-14 points
27.2%
HPU By 1-7 points
8.0%
HPU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
UNC Asheville
81
UNC ASHEVILLE
High Point
69
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
UNC Asheville
75
UNC ASHEVILLE
High Point
78
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
UNCA @ HPU
71 - 75
Feb 19, 2026
UNCA @ HPU
48 - 74
Dec 31, 2025
HPU @ UNCA
87 - 69
Feb 8, 2025
UNCA @ HPU
100 - 104
Jan 4, 2025
HPU @ UNCA
99 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.8% more
UNC Asheville: 5.2
vs
High Point: 4.4
Steals (L5)
+102.0% more
High Point: 12.9
vs
UNC Asheville: 6.4
Assists (L5)
+56.3% more
High Point: 16.6
vs
UNC Asheville: 10.6
Turnovers (L5)
+18.2% more
High Point: 11.4
vs
UNC Asheville: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNCA Score
81.0
48
HPU Score
69.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 31.7
21.0 / 23.0
Assists
16.6 / 10.6
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.2
4.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 44.7
43.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 70.2
78.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 32.3
42.0 / 36.0
Steals
12.9 / 6.4
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 9.6
8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCA
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCA
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
UNCA
HPU
UNCA
ML
80%
28-7
53%
16-14
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
ATS
71%
25-10
57%
17-13
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
TTL
66%
23-12
60%
18-12
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
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