NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
8-16 | Road
56
UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
11-15 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
RIVER HAWKS
0%
WILDCATS
--
RIVER HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (UMass Lowell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UML -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)
UNH By 1-7 points
16.9%
UNH By 8-14 points
6.8%
UML By 1-7 points
26.8%
UML By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Hampshire
71
NEW HAMPSHIRE
UMass Lowell
77
UMASS LOWELL
Simulated Score
New Hampshire
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
UMass Lowell
72
UMASS LOWELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
UNH @ UML
56 - 78
Jan 29, 2026
UML @ UNH
61 - 66
Feb 15, 2025
UML @ UNH
79 - 80
Jan 25, 2025
UNH @ UML
80 - 97
Feb 3, 2024
UNH @ UML
89 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.9% more
UMass Lowell: 2.0
vs
New Hampshire: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+18.1% more
UMass Lowell: 6.1
vs
New Hampshire: 5.2
Rebounding (L5)
+12.7% more
UMass Lowell: 38.0
vs
New Hampshire: 33.7
Assists (L5)
+11.4% more
UMass Lowell: 11.2
vs
New Hampshire: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNH Score
71.0
56
UML Score
77.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 29.7
29.0 / 24.0
Assists
11.2 / 10.0
12.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.2
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 40.6
51.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
69.0 / 65.3
61.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 33.7
44.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.2
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 11.9
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UML
UNH
UML
UNH
ML
70%
23-10
70%
19-8
58%
19-14
74%
20-7
ATS
70%
23-10
67%
18-9
58%
19-14
74%
20-7
TTL
58%
19-14
59%
16-11
100%
33-0
100%
27-0
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