FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
14-12 | Road
60
UTSA
ROADRUNNERSUTSA
5-20 | Home
52
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
100%
OWLS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
FAU By 1-7 points
15.3%
FAU By 8-14 points
25.3%
UTSA By 1-7 points
4.8%
UTSA By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
109
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UTSA
94
UTSA
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
70
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UTSA
78
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
FAU @ UTSA
60 - 52
Dec 31, 2025
UTSA @ FAU
70 - 110
Jan 29, 2025
UTSA @ FAU
74 - 94
Jan 21, 2024
FAU @ UTSA
112 - 103
Feb 23, 2023
UTSA @ FAU
66 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.7% more
Florida Atlantic: 5.7
vs
UTSA: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+19.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 11.7
vs
UTSA: 9.5
Rebounding (L5)
+18.4% more
Florida Atlantic: 40.6
vs
UTSA: 33.2
Assists (L5)
+11.8% more
Florida Atlantic: 12.5
vs
UTSA: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
109.0
60
UTSA Score
94.0
52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 28.2
23.0 / 21.0
Assists
11.0 / 12.5
8.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.7
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 44.3
31.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 69.3
50.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 40.6
47.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.1
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 11.7
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
UTSA
5-25-0
(16.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
UTSA
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
FAU
UTSA
FAU
ML
83%
24-5
64%
21-12
48%
14-15
66%
21-11
ATS
72%
21-8
70%
23-10
50%
15-15
66%
21-11
TTL
66%
19-10
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
32-0