AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
MAVERICKS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Omaha)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OMA -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)
ORU By 1-7 points
0.0%
ORU By 8-14 points
0.0%
OMA By 1-7 points
0.5%
OMA By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Oral Roberts
41
ORAL ROBERTS
Omaha
74
OMAHA
Simulated Score
Oral Roberts
70
ORAL ROBERTS
Omaha
75
OMAHA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
ORU @ OMA
71 - 80
Jan 17, 2026
OMA @ ORU
73 - 62
Mar 1, 2025
ORU @ OMA
57 - 80
Jan 25, 2025
OMA @ ORU
84 - 76
Feb 22, 2024
ORU @ OMA
70 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+75.1% more
Omaha: 5.3
vs
Oral Roberts: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+27.8% more
Omaha: 15.5
vs
Oral Roberts: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.0%
Omaha: 44.7%
vs
Oral Roberts: 29.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.4%
Omaha: 51.0%
vs
Oral Roberts: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORU Score
41.0
71
OMA Score
74.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.7 / 29.7
46.0 / 34.0
Assists
15.5 / 12.1
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.1
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 39.6
52.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
79.5 / 79.0
64.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 36.8
35.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.3 / 3.0
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 12.1
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
OMA
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
OMA
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OMA
ORU
OMA
ORU
ML
79%
26-7
85%
28-5
67%
22-11
73%
24-9
ATS
76%
25-8
82%
27-6
67%
22-11
73%
24-9
TTL
73%
24-9
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0