Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bluejays @ Huskies CREI @ CONN

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

13-13  |  Road

91
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Gampel Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

24-2  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
BLUEJAYS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UConn)
BluejaysCREI (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bluejays Cover

15.9%

Huskies Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

CREI By 1-7 points

10.7%

CREI By 8-14 points

3.3%

CONN By 1-7 points

23.0%

CONN By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
60
CREIGHTON
70
UCONN
Simulated Score
72
CREIGHTON
78
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 CREI @ CONN 91 - 84
Jan 31, 2026 CONN @ CREI 85 - 58
Mar 14, 2025 CONN @ CREI 62 - 71
Feb 11, 2025 CONN @ CREI 70 - 66
Jan 18, 2025 CREI @ CONN 68 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +161.1% more
UConn: 5.0 vs Creighton: 1.9
Assists (L5) +28.2% more
UConn: 19.7 vs Creighton: 15.3
Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
UConn: 50.2% vs Creighton: 43.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
UConn: 38.8% vs Creighton: 36.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CREI Score 60.0 91
CONN Score 70.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.8 / 36.4 37.0 / 48.0
Assists 19.7 / 15.3 21.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.0 / 1.9 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 43.8 44.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 67.4 / 68.5 61.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 32.6 35.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.2 / 5.9 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 12.5 5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
CONN Advantage
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
CREI
CONN
CREI
ML
76% 29-9
52% 17-16
66% 23-12
70% 21-9
ATS
74% 28-10
58% 19-14
66% 23-12
70% 21-9
TTL
50% 19-19
52% 17-16
100% 35-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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