ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
10-17 | Road
87
LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
11-16 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
GREYHOUNDS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
GREYHOUNDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around L-MD -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)
ARMY By 1-7 points
0.2%
ARMY By 8-14 points
0.0%
L-MD By 1-7 points
1.7%
L-MD By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
63
ARMY
Loyola Maryland
91
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Army
65
ARMY
Loyola Maryland
70
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Greyhounds
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Greyhounds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Greyhounds (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Greyhounds (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
ARMY @ L-MD
87 - 77
Jan 7, 2026
L-MD @ ARMY
84 - 76
Feb 12, 2025
ARMY @ L-MD
64 - 60
Jan 8, 2025
L-MD @ ARMY
72 - 74
Mar 2, 2024
ARMY @ L-MD
68 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.9% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.6
vs
Army: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+11.1% more
Loyola Maryland: 36.3
vs
Army: 32.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.2%
Loyola Maryland: 44.4%
vs
Army: 38.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Loyola Maryland: 74.9%
vs
Army: 68.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
63.0
87
L-MD Score
91.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 33.6
28.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.0 / 13.9
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.4
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 38.1
46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 68.9
78.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 32.7
31.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.3 / 6.7
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 12.3
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
L-MD
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
L-MD
ARMY
L-MD
ARMY
ML
53%
17-15
44%
14-18
66%
21-11
50%
16-16
ATS
56%
18-14
44%
14-18
66%
21-11
50%
16-16
TTL
44%
14-18
81%
26-6
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
