LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
12-15 | Road
49
NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
21-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
LEH By 1-7 points
1.7%
LEH By 8-14 points
0.3%
NAVY By 1-7 points
8.0%
NAVY By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
63
LEHIGH
Navy
83
NAVY
Simulated Score
Lehigh
62
LEHIGH
Navy
66
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
LEH @ NAVY
49 - 72
Jan 17, 2026
NAVY @ LEH
82 - 79
Feb 12, 2025
LEH @ NAVY
60 - 63
Jan 29, 2025
NAVY @ LEH
79 - 54
Jan 31, 2024
NAVY @ LEH
65 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.4% more
Navy: 9.1
vs
Lehigh: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+19.2% more
Navy: 36.4
vs
Lehigh: 30.5
Assists (L5)
+15.8% more
Navy: 19.0
vs
Lehigh: 16.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
Navy: 72.3%
vs
Lehigh: 68.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
63.0
49
NAVY Score
83.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 41.3
39.0 / 17.0
Assists
19.0 / 16.4
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.3
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 52.6
44.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 68.0
85.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 30.5
41.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.1 / 6.3
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 11.0
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
LEH
NAVY
LEH
ML
79%
26-7
56%
19-15
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
ATS
73%
24-9
56%
19-15
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
TTL
73%
24-9
76%
26-8
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
