BYU
COUGARSBYU
19-6 | Road
68
ARIZONA
WILDCATSARIZ
23-2 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
COUGARS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BYU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
BYU By 1-7 points
12.2%
BYU By 8-14 points
23.0%
ARIZ By 1-7 points
3.3%
ARIZ By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
BYU
75
BYU
Arizona
58
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
BYU
74
BYU
Arizona
78
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
BYU @ ARIZ
68 - 75
Jan 26, 2026
ARIZ @ BYU
86 - 83
Feb 22, 2025
BYU @ ARIZ
96 - 95
Feb 4, 2025
ARIZ @ BYU
85 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.3% more
BYU: 4.9
vs
Arizona: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
BYU: 36.6%
vs
Arizona: 29.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
BYU: 73.8%
vs
Arizona: 68.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
BYU: 47.9%
vs
Arizona: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BYU Score
75.0
68
ARIZ Score
58.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 36.6
43.0 / 26.0
Assists
14.6 / 13.6
16.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.9
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 47.9
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 73.8
67.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 39.0
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.3 / 5.6
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 10.8
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
ARIZ
Advantage
36-3-0
(92.3%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
ARIZ
Advantage
23-15-1
(60.5%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
BYU
ARIZ
BYU
ML
67%
26-13
60%
21-14
68%
23-11
72%
23-9
ATS
74%
29-10
54%
19-16
68%
23-11
72%
23-9
TTL
56%
22-17
69%
24-11
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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