SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SALUKISSIU
12-15 | Road
66
DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
12-16 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
SALUKIS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Southern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)
SIU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SIU By 8-14 points
23.0%
DRKE By 1-7 points
18.6%
DRKE By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Illinois
87
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Drake
82
DRAKE
Simulated Score
Southern Illinois
72
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Drake
78
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Salukis
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Salukis (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
DRKE @ SIU
67 - 63
Feb 18, 2026
SIU @ DRKE
66 - 61
Jan 14, 2026
DRKE @ SIU
76 - 73
Mar 7, 2025
SIU @ DRKE
53 - 70
Feb 1, 2025
DRKE @ SIU
75 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.0% more
Southern Illinois: 4.3
vs
Drake: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+51.8% more
Southern Illinois: 7.9
vs
Drake: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
Southern Illinois: 38.1
vs
Drake: 32.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.8%
Southern Illinois: 77.4%
vs
Drake: 70.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIU Score
87.0
66
DRKE Score
82.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 19.5
28.0 / 38.0
Assists
11.4 / 11.3
10.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.0 / 4.3
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 43.5
40.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 77.4
46.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 38.1
43.0 / 44.0
Steals
3.8 / 7.9
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.7
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
SIU
DRKE
SIU
ML
59%
20-14
53%
17-15
38%
13-21
47%
15-17
ATS
85%
29-5
56%
18-14
38%
13-21
47%
15-17
TTL
56%
19-15
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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