OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
13-12 | Road
66
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
18-7 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
VOLUNTEERS
100%
SOONERS
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OU -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
OU By 1-7 points
0.0%
OU By 8-14 points
0.0%
TENN By 1-7 points
0.0%
TENN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
115
OKLAHOMA
Tennessee
61
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
72
OKLAHOMA
Tennessee
78
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sooners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sooners (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
OU @ TENN
66 - 89
Feb 8, 2025
TENN @ OU
70 - 52
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Oklahoma: 43.5%
vs
Tennessee: 35.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Oklahoma: 50.9%
vs
Tennessee: 43.9%
Blocks (L5)
+58.9% more
Tennessee: 3.0
vs
Oklahoma: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+50.9% more
Tennessee: 44.7
vs
Oklahoma: 29.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
115.0
66
TENN Score
61.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 43.5
28.0 / 38.0
Assists
17.2 / 12.9
22.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 50.9
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 72.9
72.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
44.7 / 29.7
36.0 / 19.0
Steals
5.4 / 5.8
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 9.5
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
OU
TENN
OU
ML
46%
17-20
78%
28-8
64%
21-12
59%
20-14
ATS
54%
20-17
72%
26-10
64%
21-12
59%
20-14
TTL
76%
28-9
75%
27-9
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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