Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Utes @ Mountaineers UTAH @ WVU

UTAH

UTESUTAH

9-16  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 8:30 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

16-9  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
0%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
UTES --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
UtesUTAH (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utes Cover

18.4%

Mountaineers Cover

81.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WVU +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)

UTAH By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTAH By 8-14 points

26.8%

WVU By 1-7 points

12.2%

WVU By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
UTAH
74
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
71
UTAH
78
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Utes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 UTAH @ WVU 61 - 56
Mar 4, 2025 WVU @ UTAH 71 - 69
Feb 8, 2025 UTAH @ WVU 61 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +13.9% more
Utah: 12.4 vs West Virginia: 10.7
Turnovers (L5) +8.3% more
Utah: 12.1 vs West Virginia: 11.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Utah: 28.6% vs West Virginia: 24.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.9%
Utah: 72.6% vs West Virginia: 68.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 83.0 61
WVU Score 74.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.0 / 28.6 22.0 / 31.0
Assists 10.7 / 12.4 7.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.5 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 40.4 42.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 72.6 47.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 34.2 28.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.5 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.1 8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
UTAH
WVU
UTAH
ML
63% 22-13
56% 18-14
76% 26-8
67% 20-10
ATS
60% 21-14
56% 18-14
76% 26-8
67% 20-10
TTL
40% 14-21
41% 13-19
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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