RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
14-12 | Road
63
DAVIDSON
WILDCATSDAV
15-10 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
SPIDERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Davidson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAV -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)
RICH By 1-7 points
0.0%
RICH By 8-14 points
0.0%
DAV By 1-7 points
0.5%
DAV By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
63
RICHMOND
Davidson
96
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
Richmond
69
RICHMOND
Davidson
75
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
RICH @ DAV
63 - 65
Jan 31, 2026
DAV @ RICH
79 - 54
Mar 12, 2025
RICH @ DAV
65 - 69
Feb 8, 2025
RICH @ DAV
60 - 71
Jan 25, 2025
DAV @ RICH
72 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+387.1% more
Davidson: 6.4
vs
Richmond: 1.3
Steals (L5)
+53.7% more
Davidson: 8.0
vs
Richmond: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+27.7% more
Davidson: 16.4
vs
Richmond: 12.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Davidson: 41.7%
vs
Richmond: 32.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
63.0
63
DAV Score
96.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.7 / 32.0
26.0 / 41.0
Assists
16.4 / 12.8
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
6.4 / 1.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 41.1
40.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 83.3
61.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 29.9
45.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.0 / 5.2
0.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 9.6
11.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
RICH
DAV
RICH
ML
64%
21-12
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
56%
18-14
ATS
48%
16-17
44%
14-18
58%
19-14
56%
18-14
TTL
52%
17-16
56%
18-14
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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