VIRGINIA
CAVALIERSUVA
22-3 | Road
94
GEORGIA TECH
YELLOW JACKETSGT
11-15 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
YELLOW JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)
UVA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UVA By 8-14 points
0.0%
GT By 1-7 points
0.0%
GT By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Virginia
42
VIRGINIA
Georgia Tech
88
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
Virginia
60
VIRGINIA
Georgia Tech
65
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets (+13.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
UVA @ GT
94 - 68
Mar 12, 2025
UVA @ GT
60 - 66
Feb 8, 2025
GT @ UVA
61 - 75
Mar 9, 2024
GT @ UVA
57 - 72
Jan 20, 2024
UVA @ GT
75 - 66
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.1%
Georgia Tech: 39.7%
vs
Virginia: 31.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Georgia Tech: 72.5%
vs
Virginia: 66.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Georgia Tech: 44.2%
vs
Virginia: 41.8%
Blocks (L5)
+36.4% more
Virginia: 5.1
vs
Georgia Tech: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVA Score
42.0
94
GT Score
88.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 31.6
21.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.6 / 13.5
14.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.1
3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 41.8
38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 66.7
84.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 41.5
34.0 / 51.0
Steals
5.7 / 6.1
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 11.5
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVA
Advantage
30-6-0
(83.3%)
Margin: 11.6
ATS +/-: +1.0
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVA
Advantage
17-17-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 11.6
ATS +/-: +1.0
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UVA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
UVA
GT
UVA
ML
61%
19-12
67%
24-12
63%
19-11
72%
26-10
ATS
55%
17-14
75%
27-9
63%
19-11
72%
26-10
TTL
61%
19-12
53%
19-17
100%
30-0
100%
36-0
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