UIC
FLAMESUIC
15-12 | Road
84
EVANSVILLE
PURPLE ACESEVAN
6-20 | Home
46
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
PURPLE ACES
0%
FLAMES
--
PURPLE ACES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
EVANSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Evansville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EVAN -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EVAN)
UIC By 1-7 points
0.1%
UIC By 8-14 points
0.0%
EVAN By 1-7 points
0.8%
EVAN By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
63
UIC
Evansville
94
EVANSVILLE
Simulated Score
UIC
68
UIC
Evansville
72
EVANSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Purple Aces
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Purple Aces
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Purple Aces (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Purple Aces (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
UIC @ EVAN
84 - 46
Jan 20, 2026
EVAN @ UIC
49 - 76
Feb 22, 2025
EVAN @ UIC
77 - 82
Jan 22, 2025
UIC @ EVAN
78 - 67
Feb 21, 2024
EVAN @ UIC
79 - 88
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Evansville: 39.7%
vs
UIC: 29.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+10.0% more
Evansville: 11.9
vs
UIC: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Evansville: 74.8%
vs
UIC: 68.3%
Steals (L5)
+44.5% more
UIC: 9.7
vs
Evansville: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
63.0
84
EVAN Score
94.0
46
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 29.1
22.0 / 59.0
Assists
11.6 / 16.7
14.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 47.2
33.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 68.3
63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
27.3 / 37.8
23.0 / 43.0
Steals
5.4 / 9.7
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 10.8
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
EVAN
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
EVAN
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
EVAN
16-13-1
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EVAN
UIC
EVAN
UIC
ML
56%
18-14
57%
20-15
62%
20-12
44%
15-19
ATS
66%
21-11
54%
19-16
62%
20-12
44%
15-19
TTL
62%
20-12
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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