Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ramblers @ Rams LUC @ FOR

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

6-20  |  Road

59
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Rose Hill Gym
View Odds Details →

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

14-12  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
RAMBLERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Fordham)
RamblersLUC (-3.5) 0 RamsFOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ramblers Cover

42.1%

Rams Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)

LUC By 1-7 points

23.0%

LUC By 8-14 points

12.2%

FOR By 1-7 points

26.8%

FOR By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
58
LOYOLA CHICAGO
60
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
68
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Ramblers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 LUC @ FOR 59 - 62
Jan 22, 2025 FOR @ LUC 66 - 70
Jan 20, 2024 LUC @ FOR 65 - 61
Feb 22, 2023 FOR @ LUC 71 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +78.9% more
Fordham: 8.9 vs Loyola Chicago: 5.0
Rebounding (L5) +15.6% more
Fordham: 36.2 vs Loyola Chicago: 31.3
Free Throw % (L5) +12.1%
Fordham: 70.7% vs Loyola Chicago: 58.6%
Blocks (L5) +35.0% more
Loyola Chicago: 3.7 vs Fordham: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LUC Score 58.0 59
FOR Score 60.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 30.9 32.0 / 27.0
Assists 12.3 / 14.0 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.7 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 41.1 39.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 58.6 59.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 31.3 38.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.9 / 5.0 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 12.7 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
FOR Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
LUC
FOR
LUC
ML
59% 19-13
55% 18-15
59% 19-13
50% 16-16
ATS
59% 19-13
64% 21-12
59% 19-13
50% 16-16
TTL
59% 19-13
76% 25-8
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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