BUTLER
BULLDOGSBUT
13-13 | Road
93
GEORGETOWN
HOYASGTWN
13-12 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
HOYAS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
HOYAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Georgetown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)
BUT By 1-7 points
0.4%
BUT By 8-14 points
0.0%
GTWN By 1-7 points
2.7%
GTWN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Butler
56
BUTLER
Georgetown
82
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
Butler
68
BUTLER
Georgetown
72
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hoyas
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hoyas
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hoyas (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Hoyas (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
BUT @ GTWN
93 - 89
Jan 31, 2026
GTWN @ BUT
77 - 64
Feb 15, 2025
GTWN @ BUT
86 - 97
Jan 31, 2025
BUT @ GTWN
70 - 73
Jan 23, 2024
BUT @ GTWN
90 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.9% more
Georgetown: 11.7
vs
Butler: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Georgetown: 38.5%
vs
Butler: 30.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Georgetown: 43.4%
vs
Butler: 38.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.8%
Georgetown: 73.4%
vs
Butler: 68.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUT Score
56.0
93
GTWN Score
82.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 30.4
27.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.9 / 15.4
19.0 / 18.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 38.0
57.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 68.6
79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 34.7
28.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.4 / 6.5
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 9.9
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUT
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
GTWN
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUT
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
GTWN
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
BUT
GTWN
BUT
ML
67%
22-11
62%
20-12
73%
22-8
65%
20-11
ATS
58%
19-14
56%
18-14
73%
22-8
65%
20-11
TTL
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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