AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
0%
TERRIERS
100%
KEYDETS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (VMI)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VMI -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
VMI By 1-7 points
18.6%
VMI By 8-14 points
26.8%
WOF By 1-7 points
6.8%
WOF By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
VMI
67
VMI
Wofford
54
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
VMI
68
VMI
Wofford
80
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Keydets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Keydets (-12.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
VMI @ WOF
76 - 82
Feb 4, 2026
WOF @ VMI
81 - 67
Mar 9, 2025
VMI @ WOF
65 - 85
Feb 19, 2025
WOF @ VMI
82 - 43
Jan 29, 2025
VMI @ WOF
74 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.8% more
VMI: 7.4
vs
Wofford: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+9.7% more
VMI: 13.7
vs
Wofford: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
VMI: 78.3%
vs
Wofford: 73.4%
Blocks (L5)
+49.2% more
Wofford: 2.8
vs
VMI: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VMI Score
67.0
76
WOF Score
54.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 32.8
38.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.4 / 13.7
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 38.7
49.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 78.3
71.0 / 95.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 28.9
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.8 / 7.4
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 9.4
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
VMI
WOF
VMI
ML
39%
12-19
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
84%
27-5
ATS
58%
18-13
50%
16-16
61%
19-12
84%
27-5
TTL
65%
20-11
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0