Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pistons @ Knicks DET @ NY

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

40-13  |  Road

126
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

35-20  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
PISTONS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Detroit)
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

88.5%

Knicks Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-7 points

20.1%

DET By 8-14 points

27.2%

NY By 1-7 points

8.0%

NY By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
125
DETROIT
113
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
105
DETROIT
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pistons (-4) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o219.5 Win
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim u219.5 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 DET @ NY 126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026 NY @ DET 80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026 NY @ DET 90 - 121
May 1, 2025 NY @ DET 116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025 DET @ NY 106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +27.9% more
Detroit: 10.9 vs New York: 7.9
Blocks (L5) +27.1% more
Detroit: 5.6 vs New York: 4.1
Assists (L5) +30.5% more
New York: 32.4 vs Detroit: 24.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
New York: 37.9% vs Detroit: 34.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 125.0 126
NY Score 113.0 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 34.3 23.0 / 43.0
Assists 32.4 / 24.9 24.0 / 30.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.6 7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 47.9 47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 77.8 / 77.6 75.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 46.9 / 44.6 38.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.9 / 10.9 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 13.1 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
NY
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
DET
NY
DET
ML
61% 114-72
55% 64-53
56% 57-45
49% 47-49
ATS
67% 124-62
53% 60-54-3
56% 57-45
49% 47-49
TTL
72% 133-53
60% 70-46-1
100% 102-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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