Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Cavaliers BKN @ CLE

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

15-38  |  Road

84
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

34-21  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
NETS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Cleveland)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

30.9%

Cavaliers Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

BKN By 1-7 points

18.6%

BKN By 8-14 points

8.0%

CLE By 1-7 points

27.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
116
BROOKLYN
121
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
105
BROOKLYN
110
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o230.5 Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim u230.5 Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 CLE @ BKN 106 - 102
Feb 19, 2026 BKN @ CLE 84 - 112
Oct 24, 2025 CLE @ BKN 131 - 124
Mar 11, 2025 BKN @ CLE 104 - 109
Feb 20, 2025 CLE @ BKN 110 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.7% more
Cleveland: 6.1 vs Brooklyn: 4.1
Steals (L5) +21.9% more
Cleveland: 9.7 vs Brooklyn: 8.0
Assists (L5) +10.0% more
Cleveland: 29.6 vs Brooklyn: 26.9
Free Throw % (L5) +9.2%
Cleveland: 81.3% vs Brooklyn: 72.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 116.0 84
CLE Score 121.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 38.4 34.0 / 29.0
Assists 29.6 / 26.9 27.0 / 25.0
Blocks 6.1 / 4.1 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 47.1 51.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 81.3 / 72.1 60.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 44.1 / 45.2 56.0 / 36.0
Steals 9.7 / 8.0 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 17.5 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
BKN
CLE
BKN
ML
60% 69-46
53% 50-45
56% 55-44
59% 48-34
ATS
67% 75-37-3
52% 48-44-3
56% 55-44
59% 48-34
TTL
59% 68-47
57% 54-41
100% 99-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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